Adrian E. Raftery

Bayes Factors

Bayesian Model Selection in Social Research

Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation

Model-Based Clustering, Discriminant Analysis, and Density Estimation

Bayesian model averaging: a tutorial (with comments by M. Clyde, David Draper and E. I. George, and a rejoinder by the authors

Model-Based Gaussian and Non-Gaussian Clustering

Bayes Factors

Computing Bayes Factors by Combining Simulation and Asymptotic Approximations

Latent Space Approaches to Social Network Analysis

Using Bayesian Model Averaging to Calibrate Forecast Ensembles

Probabilistic Forecasts, Calibration and Sharpness

Approximate Bayesian Inference with the Weighted Likelihood Bootstrap